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Betting guides

How betting markets actually work, sport by sport — written for readers, not pitched at them. Want the methods that make money from promotions and mispriced lines? Those live in the TrueEdge Academy.

How betting markets work

Where a line comes from, why it moves, and what the closing number tells you.

  1. 1.How Do Sportsbooks Set Odds?
  2. 2.Why Do Betting Lines Move?
  3. 3.What Is the Difference Between Opening and Closing Lines?
  4. 4.What Is the Difference Between Sharp Money and Public Money?
  5. 5.What Is Reverse Line Movement?
  6. 6.Why Do Some Bets Cost More Than Others?

NFL betting guide

Key numbers, teasers, props, futures, injuries and weather.

  1. 1.What Are the Key Numbers in NFL Betting?
  2. 2.How Do NFL Teasers Work, and When Are They Worth Betting?
  3. 3.How Do NFL Player Props Work, and Why Are They Priced Differently?
  4. 4.How Does NFL Futures Betting Work, and What Does It Really Cost?
  5. 5.How Does the NFL Injury Report Work, and How Does It Move Betting Lines?
  6. 6.How Does Weather Affect NFL Betting?

Basketball betting guide

NBA rest and props, first-basket bets, college hoops and March.

  1. 1.How Do Rest and Back-to-Backs Affect NBA Betting?
  2. 2.How Do NBA Player Props Work, and What Moves Them?
  3. 3.How Do NBA First Basket Bets Work, and Why Is the Hold So High?
  4. 4.How Is College Basketball Betting Different From the NBA?
  5. 5.How Should You Bet March Madness, and What Do Seed Records Actually Tell You?
  6. 6.How Does Live Betting on Basketball Work, and Why Is It So Hard to Beat?

Baseball and hockey betting guide

Run lines, first-five bets, pitcher props, puck lines and goalies.

  1. 1.How Does the MLB Run Line Work, and What Is a First Five Innings Bet?
  2. 2.How Do MLB Pitcher Props Work? Strikeouts, Outs, Earned Runs and Hits Allowed
  3. 3.How Do Ballparks and Weather Affect MLB Betting Totals?
  4. 4.How Does the NHL Puck Line Work, and What Is a Regulation (60-Minute) Bet?
  5. 5.How Do Starting Goalies Affect NHL Betting Lines?
  6. 6.How Do NHL Player Props Work? Shots on Goal, Points and Anytime Goal Scorer

Soccer, tennis, fighting and golf

Three-way markets, Asian handicaps, tennis, UFC and golf outrights.

  1. 1.How Does a Soccer Three-Way Moneyline Work, and What Is Draw No Bet?
  2. 2.What Is an Asian Handicap, and How Do Quarter Lines Like -0.25 and -0.75 Pay Out?
  3. 3.How Does Tennis Betting Work, and What Happens to Your Bet if a Player Retires?
  4. 4.How Does UFC Betting Work? Moneylines, Method of Victory, Rounds and What Voids Your Bet
  5. 5.How Do Golf Outright and Each-Way Bets Work, and What Do Dead-Heat Rules Do to a Tie?
  6. 6.How Do Soccer Corner, Card and Shot Bets Settle, and Why Are Their Margins So Wide?

Betting law and prediction markets

Where betting is legal, how prediction markets differ, and the fights over them.

  1. 1.Where Is Sports Betting Legal in the US?
  2. 2.What Is the Difference Between a Prediction Market and a Sportsbook?
  3. 3.Are Offshore Sportsbooks Safe to Use?
  4. 4.How Does Sportsbook Geolocation Work, and Why Does It Fail?
  5. 5.What Is a Sweepstakes Sportsbook, and Is It Legal?
  6. 6.How Is Sports Betting Regulated in the US, and How Do You File a Complaint?